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Elliott Wave 3 strategy

Trend following · Advanced

Wave 3 is usually the longest and strongest wave of an impulse. Enter after the wave 2 correction holds and let the move run.

TypeTrend following
LevelAdvanced
Created or popularised byRalph Nelson Elliott

Try Elliott Wave 3 strategy on a real day

A real market day with the date hidden. Run the checklist on the chart, then buy, sell or stay out: the real candles answer.

GBP/USDWhich way next?
1.48793

Check every point of the list before you decide. Stay out if the setup is not there.

Ralph Nelson Elliott published his theory in the late 1930s: markets move in a repeating pattern of five waves with the trend and three waves against it. Counting waves is famously subjective, but one setup is widely used because its rules are clear: the entry into wave 3.

Why it works

In an impulse, waves 1, 3 and 5 move with the trend and waves 2 and 4 correct it. Wave 3 is often the longest and can never be the shortest of the three impulse waves. Entering early in wave 3 offers a tight stop and a large target.

The structure also gives a clear invalidation point: wave 2 can never retrace more than 100% of wave 1. If it does, the count is wrong and the trade is closed.

The rules

Setup

  • Identify a strong first leg (wave 1) that breaks the previous structure.
  • Wait for a correction (wave 2) that retraces between 50% and 61.8% of wave 1, often in three smaller moves.

Entry

  • Buy when price breaks above the end of wave 1, or on a reversal candle inside the 50–61.8% zone for an earlier entry.

Stop loss

  • Below the low of wave 2. A break below the start of wave 1 invalidates the count completely.

Exit and management

  • First target: wave 3 equal to 1.618 times wave 1, projected from the end of wave 2.
  • Take partial profits there and trail the rest; expect a wave 4 correction afterwards.

Filters that improve it

  • Wave 3 should come with stronger momentum and volume than wave 1.
  • If you cannot see a clean five-wave structure on the higher timeframe, skip the setup.

Worked example

Illustrative gold example on 4H: wave 1 rallies from $2,300 to $2,360. Wave 2 retraces to $2,325 (58%). Price breaks $2,360 and you buy at $2,362 with a stop at $2,322. The 1.618 projection is $2,325 + 1.618 × $60 = $2,422: about 1.5R on the first target, with the rest trailed.

Illustrative numbers, not a recommendation.

Common mistakes

  • Forcing a wave count on a choppy market.
  • Buying a wave 2 that has already retraced more than 78.6% of wave 1.
  • Holding through wave 5 expecting another wave 3.

How to practise it

In Candlemind, use the Fibonacci tool on the first impulse leg and wait for the 50–61.8% zone. Write down your count before entering and check after the reveal whether the market respected it.

Pre-trade checklist

  1. Clear impulse that broke structure (wave 1)
  2. Correction of 50–61.8% (wave 2)
  3. Entry on the break of the wave 1 high
  4. Stop below the wave 2 low
  5. Target at 1.618 × wave 1

Frequently asked questions

What are the three rules of Elliott Wave?

Wave 2 never retraces more than 100% of wave 1; wave 3 is never the shortest impulse wave; wave 4 does not overlap the price territory of wave 1 in a standard impulse.

Is Elliott Wave reliable?

Wave counts are subjective and often change in real time. Use the rules as risk management, not as a forecast.