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2024-08-05 · USD/JPY

The Carry Trade Unwind

The yen soars as the carry trade collapses

MarketUSD/JPY
Biggest move-3.2%
Extreme at (UTC)06:00
Difficulty★★★★★
141.383142.751144.119145.488146.856-3.2%Decision pointWhat happened next →

What happened

On 5 August 2024 the yen carry trade unwound violently after a Bank of Japan hike and weak US jobs data. The Nikkei fell 12% in a day.

USD/JPY dropped more than 3% during the Asian session as leveraged positions were forced out.

How to survive a day like this

  • Check the economic calendar and the news before you trade: these days were announced or brewing for hours.
  • Reduce your risk: on extreme days, 0.5% per trade is plenty, because stops can slip far beyond where you placed them.
  • Do not fight the first move. The first candles of a shock set the direction for the rest of the session more often than not.